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UFC makes its return to Paris on September 6, 2025, bringing hometown heroes and a few rising prospects to the Accor Arena. The highly anticipated MW matchup between Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho headlines the event, while French fan favourite Benoît Saint Denis takes on Mauricio Ruffy in the co-main event.

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  • Nassourdine Imavov
  • Mauricio Ruffy
  • Losene Keita
  • Modestas Bukauskas
  • All To Win

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Main Card Predictions and Breakdown

Nassourdine Imavov (+112) vs. Caio Borralho (-133)

France’s own Nassourdine Imavov gets the main event spot in Paris, he faces a dangerous opponent, Fighting Nerds’ own Caio Borralho. Imavov is known for his slick striking and composure in the cage, while Borralho has been making noise with his 7-fight win streak.

This is a crucial test for both fighters. A win for Imavov pushes him towards the title fight, plus he will want to impress his home fans. For Borralho, it’s the biggest stage of his career and a chance to snatch a title fight. Caio weighed in as the backup for UFC 319, which some say might affect him, as it’s never healthy to cut weight — especially two times in three weeks.

Prediction: Nassourdine Imavov TKO. After his impressive victory over Israel Adesanya, I believe he will ride the momentum and finish Caio.

Benoît Saint Denis (+168) vs. Mauricio Ruffy (-198)

The God of War, BSD, returns to Paris after a submission win against Kyle Prepolec. A proven finisher with heart, BSD excels in wild exchanges and has a sharp grappling game. His opponent, another Fighting Nerd, Mauricio Ruffy, is a talented striker who can shut anyone’s lights out. After Ruffy’s spinning wheel-kick KO vs. King Green, he’s been a fan favourite — a must-watch.
With the home crowd roaring for BSD, he will look to put on a show, while Ruffy hopes to win in impressive fashion and continue his title run.

Prediction: Mauricio Ruffy via KO. Hopefully an impressive one too.

Patricio “Pitbull” Freire (+178) vs. Losene Keita (-215)

Patricio “Pitbull” makes his UFC return after a decision win vs. Dan Ige. Standing across from him is the undefeated and explosive Losene Keita, one of Europe’s biggest stars and brightest prospects. Keita hopes a win will push him into the top 10 immediately.

Pitbull brings championship experience and heart, while Keita has youth, speed, hype, and knockout power. This is a classic veteran vs. prospect fight. The question is: has Keita been tested enough outside of the UFC, or will he be fraud checked?

Prediction: Losene Keita via decision. The youngster edges out the legend with volume striking and activity.

Modestas Bukauskas (-380) vs. Paul Craig (+290)

A LHW clash between two fighters who have both had rollercoaster UFC runs. Modestas Bukauskas, known for his kickboxing and toughness, takes on Paul Craig, a submission specialist with a knack for pulling off dramatic finishes.

Modestas will look to keep this fight standing, using range to avoid Craig’s clinch and frequent takedown attempts. Paul is most dangerous on the ground, even off his back, and will be looking for opportunities to drag Modestas into grappling exchanges.
This is a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. If Bukauskas can maintain distance, he’ll likely outpoint Craig across three rounds. But if the fight hits the mat, Craig’s submission game remains a huge threat.

Prediction: Modestas Bukauskas via decision. It probably won’t be pretty or exciting, but I think he will keep distance and outpoint Craig.


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