It’s finally here – Super Bowl LIX. Patrick Mahomes takes his Kansas City Chiefs to face the Philadelphia Eagles and their superstar running back Saquon Barkley on Sunday, February 9th.
After 18 weeks, hundreds of games, and tons of drama, the best team in the AFC takes on the NFC champions for what should be an epic matchup.
Your Super Bowl preview is ready to go, with the latest betting insights and tips to help you have a Super Sunday.
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Philadelphia Eagles (+205) vs Kansas City Chiefs (-245)
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Kansas City Chiefs Preview
The Chiefs open as 2-point favorites, with everyone expecting a close game but giving the slight edge to the more experienced crew.
How experienced? It’s Kansas City’s third Super Bowl in a row and the fifth in Patrick Mahomes’ career. It’s why the Chiefs’ moneyline is currently -125 – oddsmakers like safer odds and like KC’s experience and track record of success.
Probably the most underrated part of the Eagles is Steve Spagnolo, their long-time defensive coordinator. He won’t show up on any Super Bowl prop sheet, but he designed the defensive scheme that contained Buffalo’s Josh Allen last weekend, especially late in the game.
Spagnolo is already drawing up ways to slow down the Eagles’ formidable run game, and he’s got All-Pro players like Chris Jones to help him do it. Philadelphia held opposing teams to just 4.1 yards per carry this season, 4th-best in the NFL.
Kansas City’s own ground game is still, well, a bit grounded. They finished the regular season in 22nd place in rushing yards per game, and they still count on Mahomes to run it himself too often. Running backs Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt have the skills, but the team is designed around short passes and Mahomes’ scrambling.
In our Rushing Propositions (aka Bovada props), Mahomes is +190 to run for over 40 yards. This could be a good play if you think the Eagles’ fearsome secondary will force him to run more.
Travis Kelce, the Chiefs’ future Hall of Fame tight end, has been in the garage most of the season as the team wanted to rest his old bones for the playoffs. That strategy paid off in the Divisional Round, where he dominated the Texans for 117 yards and a TD.
He is still Mahomes’ go-to, so expect him to have a solid game on the big stage where he’s starred many times in recent years. Betting on Kelce have 90+ yards is currently at +250, and it jumps to +350 if he racks up 100 yards or more.
The X factor for Kansas City could be WR Xavier Worthy. As one of the fastest players in the NFL, he can score on a reverse or with a catch. He’s been getting increased targets almost every week, and Mahomes trusts the rookie more. Worthy led the team in receiving yards in the AFC Championship Game last week.
Philadelphia Eagles Preview
Enter Saquon Barkley. The Eagles saved their best offensive performance of the season for last week’s NFC Conference Championship game, racking up 55 points, the highest ever for any team in a conference final. And Saquon was front and center, with 3 touchdowns and 118 yards rushing on just 15 carries.
Barkley is the main reason the Eagles’ moneyline is so close to even, currently at +115. Philly QB Jalen Hurts remains a steady force, but if you’re looking for offensive player props at Bovada, don’t expect Hurts to light up the scoreboard. He did throw for 240+ yards last week, but in the Wild Card and Divisional rounds, he only managed 128 and 131 yards passing.
Then again, Hurts is a steady player under pressure. He’s second only to Mahomes in playoff wins over the past three seasons, with 5 W’s. And this season he’s only committed three turnovers since mid-October.
Philly led the NFL in time of possession during the regular season, which is a key factor when you need to limit the amount of time for Mahomes magic to occur.
The Eagles’ defense allowed the lowest total yards per game during the regular season, led by top rookies Cooper DeJean and Quinyon Mitchell on defense. The young DBs regularly made big plays all year and might be worth looking at for Super Bowl props when it comes to turnovers. Their matchup against a burner like Worthy will be great to watch.
The X factor for the Eagles could be wide receiver AJ Brown. He’s been a little under-used this season, but with the Chiefs laser-focused on stopping Barkley from breaking off big runs, Brown should have room to operate over the middle and deep downfield. Check the Receiving Propositions (aka receiver props) to find the bet you like for Brown, with a range of catches and TD’s available to bet on.
Finally, in the coaching battle, KC’s Andy Reid has the edge over Philly’s Frank Sirianni. Factor that in when making your Super Bowl bets. If you think Reid – coming into this 6th Super Bowl, can out-coach his rival easily, then the Over/Under of 49.5 might be a tempting over choice – especially since the Eagles scored more than that just a week ago.
If you like underdogs, you might like the Eagles to win the Super Bowl. Aside from that dominant NFC title win last week, they’ve got recent history on their side: Underdogs are 3-1 in the last four Super Bowls.
But if you like experience, coaching, and clutch performers with multiple Super Bowl MVPs leading the way, then picking the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl might be the play for you.
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*Odds subject to change